CD Acero vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UTI
3 - 1
ACE
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ACE
2 - 0
NOV
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CRE
0 - 0
ACE
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ACE
1 - 1
MUR
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ACE
0 - 1
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 1
RIB
16%
24%
60%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAT
3 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAT
45%
26%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CFA
1 - 0
PAT
32%
25%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 0
LLI
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |