Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
CD Acero vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ACE
1 - 2
CDM
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
HOS
0 - 1
ACE
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ACE
1 - 2
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
VAL
3 - 0
ACE
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ACE
0 - 4
CON
53%
26%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ONT
0 - 0
GIM
65%
24%
11%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CDB
1 - 2
ONT
59%
25%
16%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ONT
2 - 1
LIN
54%
28%
18%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
FCB
8 - 1
ONT
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ONT
0 - 1
LIN
58%
27%
16%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |