Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-3
CD Acero vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ACE
2 - 1
IBI
31%
24%
44%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SAB
4 - 1
ACE
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ACE
2 - 2
VIL
36%
31%
33%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
GIR
1 - 0
ACE
80%
15%
5%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ACE
0 - 1
ONT
43%
31%
27%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BUR
3 - 0
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
RMA
1 - 0
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 1
RAC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
UDL
4 - 1
BUR
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
BUR
3 - 0
ACE
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |