ACDM Horche vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACDM Horche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESQ
2 - 1
HOR
64%
20%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 3
HOR
36%
25%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
6 - 1
SIG
31%
25%
44%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
HOR
47%
25%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 0
SAG
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
SAG
73%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GPR
5 - 3
SAG
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAG
4 - 0
ATG
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SIG
4 - 2
SAG
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |