ACDM Horche vs El Casar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACDM Horche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 0
HOR
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 2
JDO
42%
25%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
REC
1 - 0
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 1
VSA
49%
23%
29%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
HOR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
ATA
7%
15%
78%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
YUN
18%
21%
61%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SIG
4 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
25%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
GPR
7%
14%
78%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |