Peñiscola vs Benicense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 1
PEN
10%
16%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
MOR
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
ALC
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 2
CDB
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benicense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
CAL
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 2
BEN
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
ORP
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
TRR
3 - 1
BEN
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |