ACD Guidonia vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
2º
10º
7º
3
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 62 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 48 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 47 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 42 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 41 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 40 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 36 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 30 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACD Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OLB
0 - 1
ACD
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
TRA
35%
22%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 0
ACD
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
COM
3 - 1
ACD
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -6 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ACD
3 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LOD
0 - 2
SSC
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ASI
0 - 1
LOD
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOD
1 - 2
ANZ
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
TAR
3 - 0
LOD
65%
22%
13%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +4 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LOD
0 - 1
AVE
26%
25%
48%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |