Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
STA
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 3
STA
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RUS
0 - 2
STA
20%
20%
61%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
EVE
57%
21%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 3
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MKD
3 - 1
SWI
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 1
TOT
48%
21%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 1
COL
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |