Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
TRA
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PLY
2 - 2
STA
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
ALD
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OXF
1 - 1
STA
50%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
CRE
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 3
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 2
SWI
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
SWI
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SWI
4 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 0
SWI
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |