Accrington Stanley vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 0
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 4
STO
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
CHE
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 4
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
WOL
56%
21%
24%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
DON
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |