Accrington Stanley vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
STA
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 0
STA
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STA
0 - 4
PLY
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
STA
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 3
GIL
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
CRE
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
PLY
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |