Accrington Stanley vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
STA
1 - 3
OPA
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 0
STA
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
YEO
1 - 0
STA
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STA
2 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
STA
3 - 2
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 2
OXF
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
PLY
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PLY
1 - 0
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
YEO
0 - 0
PLY
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
PLY
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |