Accrington Stanley vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
STO
1 - 1
STA
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STA
2 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
STA
0 - 2
DAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 0
STA
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
KID
2 - 0
STA
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NTT
2 - 1
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
NTT
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
BPO
0 - 2
NTT
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 1
NTT
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |