Accrington Stanley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STA
3 - 0
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 0
STA
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
DON
1 - 2
STA
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
STA
0 - 0
ALD
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 1
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
6 - 0
ASV
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
MUD
3 - 0
NEW
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GLA
2 - 1
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 0
NEW
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
CUM
0 - 3
NEW
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |