Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 2
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
CAM
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
STA
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
LEY
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DAG
0 - 1
STA
24%
27%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 5
HAR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
DAG
2 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
PLY
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |