Accrington Stanley vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 0
STA
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
AFC
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
OXF
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DAG
2 - 1
STA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PLY
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
CRE
26%
25%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |