FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-4
Accrington Stanley vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRA
3 - 1
STA
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 2
STA
25%
23%
53%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 4
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
MKD
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
DON
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 1
BUR
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 2
STA
25%
23%
53%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DON
1 - 0
GRI
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
DON
0 - 3
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |