Accrington Stanley vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 1
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
STA
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
PLY
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 0
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
WYC
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
YOR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |