Accrington Stanley vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OXF
1 - 1
STA
50%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
CRE
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
ROT
47%
24%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
STA
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
CUM
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 1
CRA
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 1
ROC
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 1
ALD
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
ALD
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 1
AFC
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |