Accrington Stanley vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
STA
1 - 3
FUL
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
STA
1 - 0
GIL
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
STA
2 - 4
BCF
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 0
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 1
BOU
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
ALD
4 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BUR
6 - 1
ALD
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 2
TRA
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |