Acatlan vs Faraones Texcoco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+761%
+1520%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
12º
11º
6
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 23 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 20 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 20 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 18 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 14 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 11 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 8 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 8 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acatlan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 6
AFC
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DEV
7 - 0
AFC
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 4
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 3
COL
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Faraones Texcoco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 0
CFT
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CFT
1 - 0
ZIT
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +5 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PDC
2 - 0
CFT
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CFT
2 - 0
TCS
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CFT
4 - 1
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |