Acatlan vs Deportiva Venados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+301%
+3552%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
9º
9º
4
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 1% |
|
Play-offs
|
12.5% | 55.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acatlan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
AFC
78%
15%
8%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
IPC
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEV
70%
19%
10%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
TAM
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 0
PDS
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
PDS
1 - 0
DEV
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |