Acassuso vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
ACA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 1
ACA
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHI
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
MER
2 - 4
AND
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
DEF
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
MER
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MER
4 - 0
UAI
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
MER
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |