Académicos vs Guerreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 1
AGU
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 1
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
IRA
2 - 0
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 0
TEC
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
DOR
1 - 2
AGU
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 1
DOR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
TIJ
2 - 0
GUE
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GUE
2 - 0
REB
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUE
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 2
CDT
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |