Academico do Porto vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
APO
3 - 1
BEL
29%
22%
49%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
4 - 0
APO
90%
6%
3%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
SCP
7 - 0
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1939 |
APO
3 - 2
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 4
APO
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 2
ACA
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 4
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |