Academico do Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
78.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 2
APO
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
APO
0 - 0
LEX
63%
18%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
APO
0 - 1
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
APO
2 - 3
BEL
28%
21%
51%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
3 - 2
APO
67%
18%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
4 - 2
SLB
66%
16%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
17%
72%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
64%
17%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
10%
16%
74%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
VST
0 - 3
SLB
13%
17%
70%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | +1 |