Academico do Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 3
APO
49%
22%
28%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
APO
3 - 6
SCP
15%
16%
70%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
FCP
7 - 2
APO
90%
7%
4%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 0
APO
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
ACA
5 - 0
APO
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |