Academico do Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis


72	ELO	76
2.7%	Tilt	-0.6%
28426º	General ELO ranking	4085º
1084º	Country ELO ranking	60º
ELO win probability

44.5%

Academico do Porto

20.6%

Draw

34.8%

Os Belenenses

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

44.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%

20.6%

Draw

0-0

1.9%

1-1

7.4%

2-2

7.3%

3-3

3.2%

4-4

0.8%

5-5

0.1%

6-6

<0%

0

20.6%

34.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%