Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 4-7
Academico do Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 3
APO
67%
17%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 5
APO
40%
22%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
APO
2 - 3
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 2
APO
80%
12%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
APO
1 - 12
FCP
17%
19%
64%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 3
APO
67%
17%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SPC
2 - 3
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 2
ACA
64%
19%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |