Académica vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 0
UNM
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 0
POR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
ACA
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAN
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 2
ACA
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 2
VIZ
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
VIZ
1 - 2
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 2
VIZ
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VIZ
2 - 2
GFC
33%
28%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ACV
0 - 1
VIZ
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |