Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 3
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 2
BOA
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 1
ACA
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
4 - 0
COV
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
BMA
62%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
MAR
4 - 1
VST
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
VST
3 - 1
FAM
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 0
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |