Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 3
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
LEX
0 - 1
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 0
VST
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
VST
2 - 2
UFT
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
POR
0 - 1
VST
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
VST
1 - 0
UNI
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |