Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
EST
0 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 0
VST
35%
31%
34%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VST
2 - 2
FCP
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 0
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
VST
1 - 3
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |