Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACA
56%
21%
24%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
BOA
2 - 0
ACA
41%
28%
30%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
ACA
3 - 0
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
VST
2 - 0
BEE
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
SCP
3 - 2
VST
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
VST
2 - 0
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
COI
0 - 0
VST
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |