Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ACA
3 - 0
SCP
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
ACA
2 - 0
MAG
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
BOA
2 - 2
ACA
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAB
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
VST
4 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
VST
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
3 - 2
VST
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
22%
26%
53%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |