Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
LEX
0 - 2
ACA
24%
26%
49%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
ACA
3 - 1
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 1
ACA
14%
23%
64%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
VST
6 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
MAR
0 - 0
VST
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 3
VST
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1968 |
VST
0 - 1
VIT
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |