Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 0-3
Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
28%
24%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ACA
3 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
BEL
2 - 2
VST
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
VST
4 - 0
SPB
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 1
VST
17%
26%
57%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |