Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
OLH
3 - 0
ACA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
LGC
1 - 0
VST
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
VST
3 - 1
FCB
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
VIT
3 - 0
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |