Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SCP
6 - 0
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ACA
1 - 1
EST
46%
20%
33%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 4
ACA
52%
20%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
OEL
3 - 3
ACA
70%
15%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VST
1 - 1
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 2
VST
52%
20%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VST
2 - 0
SPC
59%
18%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |