Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ACA
5 - 1
SLE
40%
21%
39%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
56%
20%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ACA
1 - 3
OLH
38%
21%
41%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 3
ACA
47%
21%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
32%
20%
49%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VST
3 - 1
OLI
81%
11%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
BOA
5 - 1
VST
37%
21%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
VST
1 - 4
BEL
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
SCP
2 - 3
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |