Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 7-4
Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 1
VST
62%
17%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
SAL
1 - 7
ACA
54%
19%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
ACA
6 - 2
SAL
75%
13%
12%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
59%
19%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 1
VST
62%
17%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
FAM
1 - 1
VST
51%
21%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
VST
2 - 0
FAM
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SAL
3 - 5
VST
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |