Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
35%
20%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
LEX
3 - 3
ACA
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
ACA
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
19%
19%
62%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1940 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
VST
1 - 1
LEX
69%
16%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
SCP
12 - 0
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
VST
0 - 3
SLB
13%
17%
70%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
APO
1 - 0
VST
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1940 |
VST
0 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |