Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
0 - 2
BOA
40%
22%
38%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
79%
12%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
23%
20%
58%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
VST
4 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
VST
0 - 2
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
BOA
4 - 1
VST
46%
21%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
VST
3 - 3
SLB
43%
21%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |