Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
ACA
2 - 1
APO
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
BEL
4 - 0
ACA
69%
16%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
32%
21%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
SCP
5 - 1
ACA
75%
14%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
VST
0 - 1
SCP
46%
21%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
FCP
3 - 2
VST
64%
18%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
VST
4 - 1
ULI
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
APO
3 - 6
VST
51%
21%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
VST
2 - 5
SLB
45%
22%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |