Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
FAR
0 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 2
SPB
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ACA
0 - 0
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
VST
0 - 0
VIT
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAM
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 0
VIT
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |