Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
EST
0 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 2
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
3 - 1
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 0
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
EST
2 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |