Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
ACA
1 - 4
WOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
BEL
0 - 1
ACA
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
35%
30%
36%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
WOL
3 - 0
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 2
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
3 - 2
LEX
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCB
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 0
FAR
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |