Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
KUO
0 - 1
ACA
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
3 - 0
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 0
KUO
83%
10%
7%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
FCP
3 - 3
ACA
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1969 |
BAN
1 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
VIT
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
LEX
0 - 1
VIT
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
85%
11%
5%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAN
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |