Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
FER
0 - 1
ACA
30%
21%
48%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
ACA
4 - 1
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
ACA
6 - 2
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 1
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
57%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
VIT
5 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
VST
1 - 1
VIT
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |