Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 3
ACA
21%
26%
54%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ACA
0 - 1
VST
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIT
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 0
TIR
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
LEX
3 - 1
VIT
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |